Who Was Voting How? (Part I)

Posted by: WSS News in WSSN Stories November 5, 2020 762 Views

By Charles Ellison via b | e note

The 2020 American Election Eve Poll, a 15,000-sample sized election eve poll that will provide the most accurate information about the 2020 vote choices and motivations of Latino, African American, Asian American/Pacific Islander, and Native American voters, released its first collection of select national findings.

Sifting through that data, some interesting findings to highlight.

First: Race and the 2016 Vote

Before we get into these 2020 findings, it’s useful to look at the 2016 exit polls in terms of the racial demographics, particularly those broke down by gender and age.

Now back to 2020 …

The Black Vote

This is the total Black Vote …

Black Men Vote …

Black Women Vote …

And young, Gen Z/Millennial Black voters showing the second largest cut of Black voters going for Trump compared to other cross tabs …

Along with Black Independents showing a rather significant shift towards Trump …

The White Vote

This is the total White vote …

This is White men …

And here we see that, at least according to this poll, White women in 2020 are nearly voting the exact same way they did in 2016 …

Interestingly enough, slightly more White voters age 60+ voted for Biden …

… Than White GenZ and Millennial White voters …

COVID-19 infections seemed to make little difference to White voters who experienced it …

Biden won slightly more White independents, however …

The Latino Vote …

Here is the total Latino Vote – four percentage points more for the Democrat than in 2016 …

There is a slightly larger share of Latino men voting for the Democrat than Trump, but still significantly more Latino men voting for Trump than Black men …